Bitcoin Slides 18 Percent on Crackdown Fears; Crypto Rivals Also Plunge , II Bitcoin prices fall as South Korea says ban still an option , II Can Hedge Funds Handle a Bitcoin Bust? By Lionel Laurent

A man watches a screen showing the prices of bitcoin at a virtual currency exchange office in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Jan. 16, 2018. Prices of bitcoin and other digital currencies have skidded after South Korea's top financial

Prices of bitcoin and other digital currencies have skidded after South Korea's top financial policymaker said Tuesday that a crackdown on trading of crypto currencies was still possible.

Finance Minister Kim Dong-yeon said in an interview with local radio station TBS that banning trading in digital currencies was "a live option." He said the decision was subject to a thorough government review.
"There are no disagreements over regulating speculation," such as using real-name accounts and levying taxes on crypto currency trading, Kim said. Shutting down digital currency exchanges is "a live option but government ministries need to very seriously review it," he said.
Bitcoin was trading at $12,615.60, down 7.1 percent from the day before as of 8:03 a.m. GMT, according to Coindesk. The price of ethereum, another digital currency, had slipped 7.8 percent to $1,190.45 as of 8:04 a.m. GMT.
South Korean officials' remarks have swayed the global markets for bitcoin and other crypto currencies in the past few weeks. The country has seen a huge bitcoin craze, with young and old betting on the crypto currency to build wealth. The high demand from South Korean investors has created what investors call a "kimchi premium," the extra price the South Koreans have to pay to buy digital currencies, sold in South Korea at higher than the average global prices.

 

In this Thursday, Jan. 11, 2018, photo, South Korean Finance Minister Kim Dong-yeon, center, speaks during a meeting of economy-related ministers at the government complex in Seoul, South Korea. Prices of bitcoin and other digital 

Last week, the justice minister's remark that the country will ban bitcoin and other digital currencies triggered big sell-offs and a public outcry. The presidential office then said that no final decision had been made.
An online petition on the presidential office's website has drawn more than 210,000 requests from people asking the government not to ban trading in digital currencies.
"We the citizens were able to have a happy dream that we had never had in South Korea thanks to crypto currency," the petition reads. "You may think you are protecting the public but we citizens think that the government is stealing our dream."

Hedge fund managers have been lying awake at night for years worrying about poor performance, weak volatility and whether it might be time to just move on and do something else -- like get into bitcoin maybe.
The allure of 1,000 percent returns in a market of unsophisticated punters who behave in herd-like ways is undeniable. But how long before crypto fund managers start having their own bedtime terrors?
Beating the stock market with a bitcoin in your pocket wasn't very difficult in 2017, but it's been getting much harder since. The price of bitcoin has fallen from about $14,300 to $11,900, a drop of 17 percent, even if that's well above the $10,000 level that seemed so ludicrous barely a month ago.

Dry January

Are cryptocurrency hedge funds, and their clients, ready for a down market?

 

 

 

The array of alternatives to bitcoin out there doesn't make it much easier to find the next big hit, either. Frenzied speculation has seen Ripple tumble 60 percent in 10 days and Litecoin by 35 percent. A 2 percent increase for the boring old S&P 500 doesn't seem so bad.
While hedge funds should be better placed versus the retail crowd dominating the crypto markets -- given they're supposed to hedge, after all -- there aren't too many ways to profit from an indiscriminate selloff across crypto-land.

More Volatile, But Lower Returns

Bitcoin's 30-Day volatility is going up

 

 

This is not a mature market that can easily accommodate short-selling or derivatives. Bitcoin is the exception, with futures contracts allowing traders to profit from recent falls. But the bullish side of the trade has lost money. And most of the crypto-focused hedge funds surveyed by Bloomberg News traded more than just bitcoin. They got into this market because it was booming.
Then there's the question of client sentiment. Managers of the Altana Digital Currency Fund last year warned customers that they should invest only a "fraction" of their net worth. So maybe these clients have deep enough pockets to ride the rough with the smooth.
But at what point do investors start to wonder if their fund's 1,496-percent gain last year is as good as it ever gets? If the offer on the table is for clients to redeem their holdings every quarter, or every month, how long before they decide to take it up? Just because you've invested what you can afford to lose, it doesn't mean you'd want to lose it.
The hedge fund industry has had an awkward few years trying to justify rich fees and weak performance. Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies seem to offer an escape to managers and clients alike: Mind-boggling profit, a market full of amateurs and arbitrage opportunities galore.
Maybe the smart money is sharp enough to navigate 1,000 volatile currencies. But there's a chance that the returns on offer won't justify the risks being taken, which in some cases include leverage. Mike Novogratz, who delayed his planned crypto hedge fund last month, might be the one sleeping soundest.